At this point we have reached a bit of stalemate, that both sides could sit back and hope their unit stays alive on the objective for a turn to score an extra point.
Stats wise this comes out to:
| Chance of atleast one Survival | 1 infantry | 2 infantry |
| Blight vs 1 mortar and 1 infantry | 13% | 35% |
| Blight vs 1 mortar and 2 infantry | 4% | 15% |
| Allies vs 1 MG 08 and 1 infantry | 3% | 28% |
| Allies vs 1 MG 08 and 2 infantry | 2% | 20% |
So blight have advantage with fewer infantry contesting the middle but as numbers increase allies get the advantage (due to mortar and infantry vs infantry)
But who would leave this game up to chance like that!
The blight can push their advantage by moving the machine gun into the staging zone (two away) for the allied troops but that puts the MG08 in firing range of the mortar.
So Allies will try push the advantage of range by moving the mortar up to fire on the MG08, although only a 33% chance of killing if they manage to down that MG08 they will have huge advantage. However to do this they will need to be positioned right next to the objective which means firing range of the panzerfaust if something goes wrong.
So how do we push the advantage?
The blight have a choice of deploying troops to continue gaining VPs or a bike to push back at the mortar (33% chance of downing it using 2 rounds of movement). However, the bike can be counteracted pretty easily by the allied bike (
Round 3 will be troop replenishment from the blight, as deploying a monowheel first means a counter attack from the cycle(8% chance of downing it) so some troop protection seems appropriate.
The allies would counter troops with troops as the bikes offer little in value against the troops and the mortar is still out of range for a turn. So round 3 will more than likely (taking into account troop casualties) look like so:
View attachment 18778
So end of Round 3 we have 2:2
Round 4: The big move of the blight.
So round 4 in the thought experiment is where I see the bikes being brought in and the dice playing the pivotal part!
More troops have been discussed above, but to tip the balance the blgiht can bring in their monowheel now. With the move and shoot ability (I think the shoot and move is a brilliant game play decision thanks Ted
) it provides the immediate game changer.
By moving the monowheel straight down, the trooper in the middle has a 4% chance of survival and with units spaced across the board the Blight are in a good poisition and depending on the losses of this round they will devise their response.
The allies can only shoot with their mortar (unless the Blight took a vp, then a quick infantry kill is on the cards) but their deployments cannot effect the game as the mortar could only target the objective and the bike has a range of 2. So their deployment must be for the next round. Their infantry cannot hurt the monowheel which means the mortar must choose between taking it out, or targetting one of the infantry. If no kills were made the Blight have the wonderful ability to shield either the troops with the bikes or vice versa. So for now I will leave it in the state just before the allies shooting. They better trust on that mortar!
View attachment 18779
I hope to examine the results of this scenario (the adapting to the various results) in a new post later, next will most probably be how this all changes with no trenches.
